Hurricane season: Bull’s eye in the Northeast

Well, I’m overstating a little bit, but that’s my takeaway from Guy Carpenter’s updated hurricane forecast. They project the mean number of hurricanes landing this year in the Northeast (Hatteras to Maine) at 0.62, vs. 0.60 for Florida, 0.59 for the Gulf and 0.22 for the Southeast. The projection for the Northeast is more than twice the long-term average.

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